Yes, the way you came up with the 1.56% is the right way; and it can get you to the correct answer, after you figure out the rest of the possible scenarios, which is not that difficult at all. But you probably need a big piece of paper...LOL
Question: Would he do it?Answer: His odd of killing the barb is 20.313%, which is lower than 50%. So, he would not do it.
case 1we assume he critics the 1st skill (25%)he now ticked the targethe now critics once again , barb's hp reaching 40%he critics once again, dropping from 40% to 0% without triggering the script = this leaves a 1.56% chance of doing it, doing 3 critics in a row in 6 seconds out of 10 mentioned abovecase 2 we assume he doesnt critic the 1st skill60%, 2 seconds passedticked, 4 seconds passedhe now has full hphe hits the target , lowering hp to 70%, 6 seconds passedhe hits the target, lowering hp to 40% , 8 seconds passed25% chance of hiting last one critic and killing target, 10 seconds passingcase 3we assume he doesnt critic 1st skill60%, 2 secs passedfull hp , 4 seconds passedhe critics, 25% chance, 40% hp , 6 secs passedhe critics once again, 25% chance, dead , 8 secs passedthere are around 12 scenarios that may occurhe has a nice chance of killing anyway , all this sums up around 8% chance of doing it w.o ticking the script+ if we take in consideration AD's cooldownhe will do it after 20 seconds anyhowbut since u wanna know the chance of doing it be4 going to szguess its around 8% as i said, im not that good at maths but i guess it sums around right...
ugh im stupidseche can kill with70 - full - 40 - 0 = win 70 - full - 70 - 40 - 0 = win70- full - 70 - 40 - 10 - fail kill ( 4be4 + 6 seconds after charm tick + AD lasting 5 , 11 , full hp again)40 - full - 40 - 10- fail kill he has used only 4 seconds after , ad triggers lasts 5 seconds, he has 1 sec left, casts last skill = kill succeed with ad triggering 40 - full -40 - 0 = win70- full - 70 - 10 - AD triggered, 4 seconds +5 =, 1 sec left after AD triggers, kills = kill successhe has5/6 chance of doing itwhich leads to 83% ?im sure i've missed a scenario sorryfck i forgot the times 1st timewell if i failed , sorrydid my best
the WB is afk so u can freely switch to fire, gaining 15% = 40% crit. Now u didnt say if the WB is vit or str neither if the wiz is Demon or Sage, but anyway:IF its just 5 damaging skills then the wiz is free to 3 spark,ice prisoning,virtue and so on, but ill just drop u down a scenario of a wiz vs a vit WB with a total of 5 skills without fire spark:there r many ways but i wanna go back watching my movie so ill tell u a fast one: if the wiz can drop off by 30% at max with one skill, even counting it crit so 15% per normal one, with a 3 spark u can get it hitting for at least 65% which leads the WB using his AD, u can even use ur extreme poison to make it sure.4 skills left, go to max distance, drop undine, a projectile skill and an insta damage one, there u heiro the WB if u crit, otherwise u can drop ice prison, undine and extreme poison and going for a lucky crit on a BiD or on a MS even tho BiD hits harder so i suggest that one, or u ice prison, undine use some projectile and some delayed skill to get em hitting at same time and heiroing, in all those combos u can add a mortal reversion at half HP just to make it all safer.I could keep going forever, spark aint needed not cuz Wizs r OP but cuz u need to think about how chaning ur skills thing that 99,9% of wizs dont. On a side note if u are sage the best way is dropping a BiD at half hp and going for direct heiro or for that nice 70%+ crit bonus.See best is me i win ingame and on fanta-PVP on forum